COVID + 8

Covid+7, listed 19 countries with per million death rates exceeding 400 and mentioned 5 others on a path towards that mark (only tracking countries with populations exceeding one million), in order to provide context for what is occurring in America, reporting a range given the variability in how Covid deaths are defined in each country.  It also tends to contradict accusations that the USA is deliberately overcounting covid deaths.

One month later, the list has expanded to 28 countries (including 4 of the 5 predicted) with at least seven others joining in the next 30 days.

This phase of the pandemic has slowed in South America.  North America still appears to be cresting.  Western Europe may have peaked (covid deaths in many countries increasing by 25-40% in the past 30 days) but Eastern Europe is still increasing (with many having more than 50% of all covid deaths in past 30-45 days) as are the former Soviet Republics and the covid wave has cross the Caucasus Mountains to hit Armenia, Georgia and Azerbaijan.  With the exception of Iran, much of the Middle East is improving as is India.  East Asia remains unchanged.  In North Africa, Tunisia is experiencing a wave, though much of the rest of the continent is stable.

Below is the current list by continent.  For those countries on last month's list the cumulative death rate as of Oct 22 and Nov 22 are shown in (parens), the October rate first.  Countries added in since last month in bold and only the Nov 22 rate is shown.

Europe

Belgium (908, 1337), Spain (738, 911), Italy (612, 825), UK (652, 809), France (524, 746), North Macedonia (420, 714), Bosnia & Herzogovina (-, 695), Czech Republic (-, 668), Sweden (586, 633), Moldova (407, 533), Romania (-, 524), Netherlands (404, 518), Slovenia (-, 506), Switzerland (-, 467),  Bulgaria (-, 416), Ireland (-, 408)

Above 400 within 30 days: Poland, Portugal, Austria, Hungary, Croatia; possibly Ukraine

North America

USA (688, 792), Mexico (676, 783), Panama (599, 681)

Above 400 within 30 days: Costa Rica; possibly Canada

South America

Peru (1026, 1074), Argentina (607, 816), Brazil (732, 794), Chile (720, 786), Bolivia (730, 759), Ecuador (705, 744), Colombia (581, 691)

Africa

None

Above 400 within 30 days: Tunisia; possibly South Africa

Asia

Armenia (-, 658), Iran (-, 531)

Above 400 within 30 days: Georgia; possibly Jordan

TOP TEN

Belgium (1337)

Peru (1074)

Spain (911)

Italy (825)

UK (809)

Brazil (794)

USA (792)

Chile (786)

Mexico (783)

Bolivia (759)