Wednesday, March 4, 2015

The Second Inaugural Address

http://mrkash.com/activities/images/lincolninaugural.jpg
(Lincoln, standing bareheaded from mrkash.com)

It wasn't what the audience was expecting to hear when they gathered on the muddy field at the Capitol on March 4, 1865 to listen to President Abraham Lincoln be sworn in to start his second term in office.

There was no detail on the progress of the war other than a passing acknowledgement:
The progress of our arms, upon which all else chiefly depends, is as well known
to the public as to myself; and it is, I trust, reasonably satisfactory
and encouraging to all.  With high hope for the future, no prediction
in regard to it is ventured. 
This though it appeared the long and terrible Civil War was on the verge of ending.  Lee's starving army was melting away from its entrenchments at Richmond and Petersburg.  Sherman's army was now in North Carolina facing only weak opposition, having rampaged through South Carolina and Georgia in prior months.  The last open Confederate seaport in Wilmington, NC had fallen several weeks before.

There was no discussion or even indication of what policy that the President was contemplating for the Reconstruction of the seceding states when the war ended, a topic that was already engendering controversy about politicians in the Capital and around the country.

There was no lengthy discussion of any policy or issue facing the nation.  The address took only about ten minutes to deliver and then it was over. 

For a President and a country which had waged a four year struggle at great cost which is about to end in victory, it is a speech empty of triumphalism.

Instead the audience was treated to a brooding sermon unlike any given by a President before or since.  It's as if he is puzzling over the events of the prior four years and interpreting God's will for the onlookers.

In the second paragraph he deftly points the finger for triggering the conflict on the seceding states:
Both parties deprecated war; but one of them would make war rather
than let the nation survive; and the other would accept war rather
than let it perish.   
But then he seems to waver, adding "And the war came" as though driven by a force beyond the power of both parties, perhaps suggesting that neither (or both) are to blame.  It is a passage in which the President hearkens back to the theme from 1861 and continued throughout the next several years that the conflict was about Union.  

Yet the rest of the speech presents another view of what the war was really about; slavery.
These slaves constituted a peculiar and powerful interest.  All knew
that this interest was, somehow, the cause of the war.  
Then he returns to the unexpected nature of the war and the suffering of both sides despite their common religious belief.
Both read the same Bible, and pray to the same God; and each invokes
his aid against the other. It may seem strange that any men should dare
to ask a just God's assistance in wringing their bread from the sweat of
other men's faces; but let us judge not, that we be not judged.  The
prayers of both could not be answered--that of neither has been answered fully. 
But whatever both sides thought in 1861, God had his own purpose:
If we shall suppose
that American slavery is one of those offenses which, in the
providence of God, must needs come, but which, having continued
through his appointed time, he now wills to remove, and that he
gives to both North and South this terrible war, as the woe due
to those by whom the offense came, shall we discern therein any
departure from those divine attributes which the believers in a
living God always ascribe to him?
What follows is a Biblical vision that is both striking and terrifying and casts the President, along with every other citizen, as subservient to God's will because of the gravity of the offense.
Yet, if God wills that it continue until all the wealth piled by
the bondsman's two hundred and fifty years of unrequited toil
shall be sunk, and until every drop of blood drawn by the lash
shall be paid by another drawn with the sword, as was said
three thousand years ago, so still it must be said, "The
judgments of the Lord are true and righteous altogether."
This stark passage makes the final paragraph of the speech even more stunning.  With no transition, Lincoln abruptly delivers a benediction suffused with grace, forgiveness and sympathy.
With malice toward none; with charity for all; with firmness in
the right, as God gives us to see the right, let us strive on
to finish the work we are in; to bind up the nation's wounds;
to care for him who shall have borne the battle, and for his widow,
and his orphan--to do all which may achieve and cherish a just
and lasting peace among ourselves, and with all nations. 
With those words the strangest and most memorable Inaugural address in America history concluded.
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/e/e6/Abraham_Lincoln_giving_his_second_Inaugural_Address_(4_March_1865).jpg
FULL TEXT OF SECOND INAUGURAL ADDRESS
Fellow countrymen:  At this second appearing to take the oath
of the presidential office, there is less occasion for an extended
address than there was at the first.  Then a statement, somewhat
in detail, of a course to be pursued, seemed fitting and proper.
Now, at the expiration of four years, during which public declarations
have been constantly called forth on every point and phase of the great
contest which still absorbs the attention and engrosses the energies
of the nation, little that is new could be presented.  The progress
of our arms, upon which all else chiefly depends, is as well known
to the public as to myself; and it is, I trust, reasonably satisfactory
and encouraging to all.  With high hope for the future, no prediction
in regard to it is ventured.

On the occasion corresponding to this four years ago, all thoughts
were anxiously directed to an impending civil war.  All dreaded it--
all sought to avert it.  While the inaugural address was being delivered
from this place, devoted altogether to saving the Union without war,
insurgent agents were in the city seeking to destroy it without war--
seeking to dissolve the Union, and divide effects, by negotiation.
Both parties deprecated war; but one of them would make war rather
than let the nation survive; and the other would accept war rather
than let it perish.  And the war came.

One-eighth of the whole population were colored slaves, not distributed
generally over the Union, but localized in the Southern part of it.
These slaves constituted a peculiar and powerful interest.  All knew
that this interest was, somehow, the cause of the war.  To strengthen,
perpetuate, and extend this interest was the object for which the
insurgents would rend the Union, even by war; while the government claimed
no right to do more than to restrict the territorial enlargement of it.

Neither party expected for the war the magnitude or the duration
which it has already attained.  Neither anticipated that the cause
of the conflict might cease with, or even before, the conflict itself
should cease.  Each looked for an easier triumph, and a result less
fundamental and astounding.  Both read the same Bible, and pray
to the same God; and each invokes his aid against the other.
It may seem strange that any men should dare to ask a just God's
assistance in wringing their bread from the sweat of other men's faces;
but let us judge not, that we be not judged.  The prayers of both
could not be answered--that of neither has been answered fully.

The Almighty has his own purposes.  "Woe unto the world because
of offenses! for it must needs be that offenses come; but woe
to that man by whom the offense cometh."  If we shall suppose
that American slavery is one of those offenses which, in the
providence of God, must needs come, but which, having continued
through his appointed time, he now wills to remove, and that he
gives to both North and South this terrible war, as the woe due
to those by whom the offense came, shall we discern therein any
departure from those divine attributes which the believers in a
living God always ascribe to him?  Fondly do we hope--fervently
do we pray--that this mighty scourge of war may speedily pass away.
Yet, if God wills that it continue until all the wealth piled by
the bondsman's two hundred and fifty years of unrequited toil
shall be sunk, and until every drop of blood drawn by the lash
shall be paid by another drawn with the sword, as was said
three thousand years ago, so still it must be said, "The
judgments of the Lord are true and righteous altogether."

With malice toward none; with charity for all; with firmness in
the right, as God gives us to see the right, let us strive on
to finish the work we are in; to bind up the nation's wounds;
to care for him who shall have borne the battle, and for his widow,
and his orphan--to do all which may achieve and cherish a just
and lasting peace among ourselves, and with all nations.











Monday, March 2, 2015

All We Can Know Is The Future Will Be Different

As we get older it is a humbling experience to recognize how often we are wrong in our predictions - yes, even THC.

To remind us is a 1985 article by Erik Sandberg-Diment asking "whatever happened to the laptop computer?" in which the author makes several pronouncements:
For the most part, the portable computer is a dream machine for the few.
The limitations come from what people actually do with computers, as opposed to what the marketers expect them to do. On the whole, people don't want to lug a computer with them to the beach or on a train to while away hours they would rather spend reading the sports or business section of the newspaper. Somehow, the microcomputer industry has assumed that everyone would love to have a keyboard grafted on as an extension of their fingers. It just is not so. 

Yes, there are a lot of people who would like to be able to work on a computer at home. But would they really want to carry one back from the office with them? It would be much simpler to take home a few floppy disks tucked into an attache case.  

Software is the real weak spot for laptops. If the machines were merely too expensive, especially in view of their limited display, they would still sell if they served an unbeatable function. But for that to be the case, special software would be needed. The word processing and spreadsheet packages commonly available for them are intended to accomplish tasks to which laptop computers are simply not well suited. 

But the real future of the laptop computer will remain in the specialized niche markets. Because no matter how inexpensive the machines become, and no matter how sophisticated their software, I still can't imagine the average user taking one along when going fishing.  
THC has quoted Mr Sandberg-Diment at length not to make fun of his predictions but as a reminder to himself and others that some of our predictions will look pretty silly in a few decades.



Saturday, February 28, 2015

Spring Training

All the players have reported and the games start next week.  To kick us off here is some old footage featuring Ty Cobb of whom THC has written before (see Take Me Out Of The Ballgame).  It's taken from both his playing years (1905-28) and in retirement.

The first seconds show Cobb and Honus Wagner together - it's hard to think of two more vastly different temperaments in great ball players.  Cobb was all temper, mostly bad.  Wagner a gracious competitor and, by all accounts, a kind man.

Most of the film shows Cobb in his Detroit years (1905-26) but at one point he's wearing an uniform with an elephant on it - that's from his last two years with Connie Mack's Philadelphia Athletics.

At 1:58 is Cobb at the Hall of Fame in Cooperstown NY.  Before the camera pans to him you can see Babe Ruth and Grover Cleveland Alexander.  One of the last scenes is of Ruth and Cobb in retirement playing a charity golf match.  They may be smiling but during their playing days Cobb hated Ruth and the changes he brought to baseball.  THC's guess is Ruth ignored Cobb in return, that is if he could remember his name - the Babe was notorious for forgetting names, including of his teammates.

Friday, February 27, 2015

That's A Really Big Foot


Just two days ago THC wrote in Barriers To Entry:
You can see this process going on right now with the FCC's announced decision, at the behest of the White House, to extend its authority to regulate the Internet as a government utility in the name of "net neutrality".  They've promised it'll be just the right amount of regulation and not too much regulation but the important thing from a progressive prospective is the ability of the government to claim the right to regulate as much as it deems appropriate.  And, if the FCC is successful with its power grab, we all know what that little bit of regulation will ultimately become. 
And what do we have pop up on YouTube today?  Confirmation of THC's thesis from an authoritative source.  This is Hilary Clinton's endorsement of net neutrality and the FCC action.  Apart from the fact that her knowledge about the issue seems rather shaky the most interesting justification she gives in support of the FCC is that "it's a foot in the door" because "we need to do more" after this initial regulatory foray.   Yes, indeed there is always "more to do" when it comes to regulation.  Always keep in mind that it is not the details of the regulation that are most important for these folks; it is the successful assertion of the right to regulate.  They can always figure out what they want to do later.If you are interested in another take on net neutrality you can read this from Nick Gillespie.

And speaking of feet here's one possible future envisioned by George Orwell in 1984:
If you want a vision of the future, imagine a boot stamping on a human face - forever.

Second Thoughts From The New York Times On Cuba

http://m2.i.pbase.com/g1/06/296006/2/106354822.OmEc1BfC.jpg(Carlos Slim Yacht)
http://hirhatar.com/wp-content/uploads/gal-revolucioncubana-boat-jpg.jpg(Cuban refugee yacht)

Attentive THC readers may remember his December 2014 post, Top 5 Reasons We Ended The Cuba Embargo.

The first four were:

- Retro look of Havana appeals to hipsters.

- Travel to U.S. mostly by boat which is more environmentally-friendly than air travel.

- Fairness Doctrine implemented on more progressive basis grounded in concept that anything not approved by Government is unfair.

- Fertile ground for new Cash for Clunkers program.

The fifth was:

- Income inequality solved by maximum monthly wage of $20.

It's this last one which is now giving the New York Times second thoughts about the wisdom of ending the embargo as you can see in its recent article bemoaning the advent of capitalism on the island:

Inequality Becomes More Visible in Cuba as the Economy Shifts

This is causing the Times, which has advocated strongly for reducing income inequality in both its editorial and news sections, anguish.  It is better for everyone to remain poor together according to the Times.  Well, almost everyone.  In Cuba, the ruling elite is exempt from many of the restrictions imposed on the rest of the population because, well, just because.  In the U.S. the Times pushes the issue though it would exempt the members of its Editorial Board, the family owners of the paper (the Sulzbergers) and its largest non-family shareowner (currently 17%) the well-connected Mexican billionaire Carlos Slim who controls 80% of the landlines and 70% of cell phone service in his native country (see this NPR piece on his monopolistic practices; no mention of his large ownership interest in the Times; does anyone doubt that if Slim were a major shareholder in Fox that NPR would have mentioned it at least in passing?).
 
All of which brings to mind Margaret Thatcher's response on income inequality from 1990: "They'd rather have the poor poorer".