Sunday, May 30, 2021

Remembering

 I'd never seen this photo before either.  The carrier Intrepid was hit by three kamikaze planes between the fall of 1944 and spring 1945, killing 85 American sailors.  We honor them.


Monday, May 24, 2021

Boots Of Spanish Leather

Bob Dylan turns 80 today.  Originally recorded by Dylan in the early 60s, this version of Boots of Spanish Leather was recorded in the early 90s by Nanci Griffith at Dylan's home studio and that's Bob playing harmonica on the track.

 

Oh, I’m sailin’ away my own true love
I’m sailin’ away in the morning
Is there something I can send you from across the sea
From the place that I’ll be landing?

No, there’s nothin’ you can send me, my own true love
There’s nothin’ I wish to be ownin’
Just carry yourself back to me unspoiled
From across that lonesome ocean

Oh, but I just thought you might want something fine
Made of silver or of golden
Either from the mountains of Madrid
Or from the coast of Barcelona

Oh, but if I had the stars from the darkest night
And the diamonds from the deepest ocean
I’d forsake them all for your sweet kiss
For that’s all I’m wishin’ to be ownin’

That I might be gone a long time
And it’s only that I’m askin’
Is there something I can send you to remember me by
To make your time more easy passin’

Oh, how can, how can you ask me again
It only brings me sorrow
The same thing I want from you today
I would want again tomorrow

I got a letter on a lonesome day
It was from her ship a-sailin’
Saying I don’t know when I’ll be comin’ back again
It depends on how I’m a-feelin’

Well, if you, my love, must think that-a-way
I’m sure your mind is roamin’
I’m sure your heart is not with me
But with the country to where you’re goin’

So take heed, take heed of the western wind
Take heed of the stormy weather
And yes, there’s something you can send back to me
Spanish boots of Spanish leather

Sunday, May 23, 2021

COVID + 14

This month has seen the pandemic follow different paths across the world.  In North America, Canada, the U.S., and Mexico have seen big declines in cases and deaths due to vaccines.  Europe is also seeing declines, particularly in Western Europe.  South America is still in the midst of a wave, including Paraguay and Uruguay, which until recently had been little impacted.  It is still difficult to tell what is really happening in Africa, though nominally case and death numbers remain low.

In the Middle East, countries like Lebanon and Jordan are now seeing their waves recede.  It is South and East Asia where the situation may be going through the greatest change.  As everyone knows, India is suffering terribly and the "official" numbers are probably dramatic under counts of the reality.  But elsewhere in the region things are also not moving in a good direction.  Countries like Nepal, Sri Lanka, Thailand, and Malaysia are seeing the highest case and death counts since the start of the pandemic.  In absolute terms the numbers in these countries are still relatively low compared to the rest of the world, but are much higher than they've experienced before.  Where things go from here is the big question.

How Many Covid Deaths?

As I've emphasized in these monthly reports there is a great deal of uncertainty in the death counts reported by each country.  In some instances (Russia, South Africa, Mexico) we have good evidence of substantial under counts based on overall death counts and/or statements by government officials.  As of today Worldometer reports just under 3.5 million deaths in total.  I've estimated conservatively that this is probably 1 to 1.5 million too low.  More recently, The Economist undertook a more detailed analysis and concluded the likely Covid death toll is about 10 million, due mostly to under counts in Africa and Asia.

The Official Data

Reported below are all countries with population of more than one million which have reported death rates in excess of 1,000 per million (next month I will raise the threshold). 

This month saw the first country (Hungary) to exceed an official death toll of more than 0.3% of its population.

Eight countries exceeded 1,000 per million during the same time period: Tunisia, Netherlands, Germany. Greece, Ukraine, Georgia, Uruguay, Paraguay.  Every large country in South America is now above 1,000, except for Venezuela and no one has a clue what is really happening there.

For reference the official death count in India is now 299,296.  To reach 1,000 per million India would have to reach 1,380,000 deaths, or more than double the current U.S. total (The Economist estimates the real India death count is already in excess of one million).

The list below shows the death rate per million, along with the % increase since last month.  New countries are in BOLD and all increases of 20% or more in deaths are underlined.

Europe

Hungary (3058/13%), Czech Republic (2798/4%), Bosnia & Herzogovina (2792/12%), North Macedonia (2542/15%), Bulgaria (2534/14%), Slovakia (2249/11%), Belgium ( 2132/4%), Slovenia (2092/4%), Italy (2073/6%)

Croatia (1931/17%), Poland (1928/14%), UK (1873/<1%), Spain (1702/3%), Portugal (1673/1%), France (1659/6%), Romania (1563/11%), Lithuania 1552/9%), Moldova (1508/7%)

Sweden (1415/4%), Latvia (1244/10%), Switzerland (1237/2%), Austria (1165/5%), Ukraine (1133/20%), Greece (1131/20%), Germany (1047/8%), Netherlands (1021/3%)

North America

USA (1815/3%), Mexico (1700/4%), Panama (1445/2%)

South America

Brazil (2096/17%), Peru (2031/16%)Colombia (1640/20%), Argentina (1617/21%), Chile (1474/11%), Bolivia (1173/9%), Ecuador (1129/11%), Paraguay (1142/46%), Uruguay (1094/76%)  

Africa

Tunisia (1018)

Asia

Armenia (1478/11%), Georgia (1156/12%), Lebanon (1128/11%)

Five countries are between 1,000 and 900; Ireland (991), Estonia (934), South Africa (930), Iran (923), and Jordan (909).

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Fascinating article in Wired on whether Covid-19 could be transmitted as aerosol.  The answer is yes, which as a practical matter, most of us were treating it like it was by spring 2020 but for some reason the public health community struggled with the concept.  This explains why.  Another related article here.

It is astonishing how much the desire to defeat Donald Trump influenced public health officials (see, for instance, the denunciation of even the possibility of a lab origin for covid in 2020 as a conspiracy theory versus the sudden acceptance of the possibility within the past month).  I'd forgotten that in October 2020, the MIT Technology Review could proudly publish an article about one public health expert's effort to mobilize efforts to prevent Trump from approving a vaccine prior to the election.  More recently that same expert had the temerity to tweet out about how many lives were saved each week by vaccines.





 

 



Friday, May 21, 2021

Sheraton Gibson

 I'm sitting in the Sheraton Gibson playing my Gibson

And boy do I want to go home

From Pete Townshend's first solo album.   Very different from The Who.




Thursday, May 20, 2021

The Litmus Configuration

Midnight Run, the 1988 film starring Robert DeNiro, featured Charles Grodin, who passed away earlier this week at the age of 86, as Jonathan "The Duke" Mardukas, is a delightful, fun film.  The supporting cast was fabulous; Dennis Farina, Yaphet Kotto, John Ashton, Joe Pantoliano.

Grodin, known throughout his career for his deadpan manner and flat affect, acting mostly with his eyes, reached perfection in Midnight Run.  The contrast between DeNiro and Grodin makes the film.  The studio originally wanted Robin Williams for the role played by Grodin but it would not have worked nearly as well.  In this scene, Grodin, a fugitive caught by bounty hunter DeNiro, impersonates the FBI Special Agent who is chasing them both.  Observe Grodin carefully and pay attention to his timing.  I love when he turns to the old guy at the bar (who really was a local hired for the role) and asks, "you seen any suspicious looking characters around here?", the guy answers "No"; Grodin then asks, "are you from around here?", the guy answers "Yep" and then Grodin holds his look!

Grodin was also known for his performances as a guest with Johnny Carson and David Letterman in which he is alternately amusing, irritating, and insulting.  In the piece below we see Grodin v Carson, two masters, sparring for twelve minutes.  It is worth watching in its entirety.



Sunday, May 16, 2021

Hibbing

Downtown Hibbing, Minnesota in 1941, the year Bob Dylan was born there.  Notice the JC Penney on the right.  Back then there was always a JC Penney in town.  Photo from Shorpy.



BlueAnon

Many of us have heard about QAnon, but there is also BlueAnon which is not talked about as much.  The reason we are in such trouble as a society is a majority of politically active people believe in one or the other.  I use "politically active" because I don't think anywhere near a majority of Americans (aka "normies") believes in either.

I'm still not even exactly sure what QAnon is, other than a crazy bunch of conspiracy theories which led to some idiots storming the Capitol on January 6.  I also consider Trump's "Stop The Steal" and the ongoing election "audit" here in Maricopa County (a county where the GOP has 4 of the 5 county supervisors and the county recorder, who supervises elections, is a Republican, but somehow a sophisticated conspiracy led to Biden narrowly carrying Maricopa while simultaneously allowing all these other Republicans to be elected) as QAnon Lite at a minimum.

BlueAnon is the Left equivalent of QAnon, a bundle of conspiracy theories believed and promoted by many Democratic activists and the media.

I was reminded of the pervasiveness of BlueAnon while reading an article by Charles W Cooke about Rebekah Jones.  Jones is the self proclaimed "data scientist" who supposedly found that Governor DeSantis of Florida was cooking the books on Covid.  In reality, Jones is an IT person who constructed a dashboard for the state but had nothing to do with data handling.  She's a known fabulist who has been fired from several jobs but nonetheless become a darling of many on the Left and the media because she has cleverly pushed a narrative the Left loves, as Cooke's article explains.  In turn, it has inspired a whole series of BlueAnon conspiracy narratives about DeSantis which have all proven false.

Although a cursory examination of Jones and her claims would have easily shown them to be fraudulent she received glowing coverage from MSNBC, USA Today, NY Times, Washington Post, NBC, Cosmopolitan, Forbes, Fortune, NPR, Yahoo News, and CNN (though Jake Tapper of that network was the only journalist to raise questions about her).  This highlights one of the main differences between QAnon and BlueAnon; unlike QAnon, BlueAnon is openly reported as credible news and endorsed by media which has historically presented itself as non-partisan. 

Nothing in Cooke's article is new.  I've followed the Rebekah Jones saga since May 2020 and most of this has been known for many months and reported in other sources ignored by Democrats. Indeed, it is the unshakeable belief in Jones despite overwhelming facts to the contrary that brand this as prime BlueAnon.

In late March 2020, I thought Florida was headed for a New York type Covid disaster, based upon what I thought about the virus at the time.  I was wrong.  It turns out Governor DeSantis has done a reasonably good job navigating between keeping Floridians safe and avoiding the economic catastrophe faced by those in some other states.  It's a particularly impressive accomplishment given that Florida has the largest percentage of 65+, the most vulnerable to Covid, of any state

Of course, the Daddy of BlueAnon theories, the Ur-moment, is Russia Collusion!!  It was all fake (as laid out in my series) This BlueAnon theory was widely reported for three years and Rachel Maddow became BlueAnon central on it.  It also spawned a whole subset of BlueAnon beliefs; Deutsche Bank, Alfa Bank servers, Michael Cohen in Prague, Trump Tower Moscow, Russian financiers for the Trump Org, the Ukraine plank in the GOP platform, Carter Page as mastermind, Cambridge Analytica, all of which were false, as was the Steele Dossier, the original source for the theory.

Nonetheless, the power of BlueAnon can be seen in the April 2020 results of a Harvard-Harris poll in which 53% of respondents believed the Steele dossier, "was real in its findings of Trump colluding with the Russians" and helped the Democrats to regain control of the House in 2018.(1)

BlueAnon also thrives when the press and its followers repeat a false story often enough to each other that it just becomes an accepted belief, with no one questioning the underlying facts.  That President Trump, in the aftermath of Charlottesville, proclaimed there were "fine people on both sides" of the statue argument and included white nationalists and neo-nazis in that description, is widely accepted, and was crucial in cementing the Trump as nazi fascist racist theme the press was developing.  At the time I accepted it since I don't like listening to Trump, had not watched the press conference, and mistakenly still had enough residual belief in the mainline press to accept what they were reporting on a public statement was accurate.  It was only a year or so later upon coming across a transcript of the press conference that I realized the story was false; Trump on two occasions in that same press conference stated he was not including white nationalists and neo-nazis in his characterization of "fine people", saying "them I totally condemn" and calling them "bad people".  If you tell someone today what Trump really said and they refuse to believe you, they are BlueAnon.(2)

BlueAnon also has its panic inducing theories.  An example was the claim in August and September 2020 that President Trump was planning to use the U.S. Postal Service to steal the election in November.  This one was seized and promoted not just by the press but by Democrats in Congress and became a big story for a few weeks though there has never been a legitimate shred of evidence to support it and the theory was dropped as soon as it was no longer useful.

We'll end with the biggest and most powerful BlueAnon conspiracy of them all - Critical Race Theory and systemic racism.  This conspiracy theory would have us believe there is a secret conspiracy of white people, including Jews, to manipulate the English language and the structures of society to maintain white privilege and supremacy.  CRT is a perfect example because in order to believe in the theory it requires the faithful to deny the reality all around them.  Further, it is a theory under which one, and only one, factor, explains everything in society and any questioning of the theory is proof that the questioner is part of the conspiracy.  That the theory has become the express basis for the policies of the Biden Administration poses a grave danger to the survival of America as a free country.

If there is a white conspiracy it sure looks like the least effective conspiracy I know of.  Here's reality:

Millions of non-whites want to, and do, emigrate to the United States though we are told by CRT the country is an appalling racist society.

Millions of non-white immigrants - Asian, Hispanic, African - are doing quite well in America with Asian and African incomes above average white income and Hispanic incomes rapidly approaching parity despite CRT telling us there is systemic discrimination against them.

Saying Black Lives Matters is celebrated, saying All Lives Matter will get you fired, despite what CRT tells you.

Black people are privileged over white people when it comes to college admissions and being hired and promoted in academia, by foundations, government, media and large corporations despite the conspiracy posited by CRT.

Unarmed black people killed by police receive national coverage while the killings of non-blacks in similar circumstances remain local stories (search Tony Timpa, Michael Ramos, Daniel Shaver, Hannah Fizer - the last a 25 year old unarmed white woman shot five times by a policeman while driving to her job at a convenience store in an incident 19 days after George Floyd died).  Perhaps we do need to be saying All Lives Matter.(3)

We live in one of the most multi-cultural, multi-ethnic societies in human history and most people get along on a day to day basis, despite the alleged white conspiracy.

In the 19th and early 20th century, black people tried to pass for white because being white was an advantage.  In 21st century America, white people try to pass for black, hispanic and native American because it gives them an advantage.  This should not be happening according to CRT.

The prime example of reality versus theory is our VP, Kamala Harris.  Her high-caste Brahmin mother emigrated to the U.S. because it offered her opportunities she could not find elsewhere.  Her high-caste mixed-race Jamaican father emigrated to the U.S. because it offered him opportunities he could not find elsewhere.  Harris realized it was critical to her political success to be seen as an authentic black person.  She got her political start as mistress to the most powerful politician in California, the most populous state in America, who happened to be black.  All of this has led to a successful political career which should not be happening under CRT theory.

A recent example of reality versus theory is the recent rise of Stop Asian Hate! with Asians cast by CRT as the victims of white supremacy.  The reality is that white progressives and black activists have teamed up to deny Asians access to colleges and universities and are actively working to destroy gifted and STEM public school programs or eliminate meritocratic admissions because too many Asians are being too successful in such programs.  Meanwhile, we all continue not to talk about the truth we all know which is that for years blacks have disproportionately been the perpetrators of violent attacks on Asians.  For more on this read the last part of With Only One Lense, Vision Is Impaired.
The theory versus reality divide is particularly painful to recognize for me since in today's climate my posts on this topic would probably get me fired from many jobs if I had not already retired.  This despite the fact that for my entire life I have been committed to the equal treatment of my fellow citizens and acknowledging the century of disgraceful treatment of freed slaves and their descendants as they sought assimilation into American society and were rejected both South and North (see Readings on Slavery for some reflections on this).  Nonetheless despite my beliefs and my actions over my lifetime I am considered racist under CRT, not an anti-racist, and my writings critical of it serve in their twisted reasoning as proof of my racism.  How did we come to this?  How did people who think like this come to power?

One could go on and on about this but CRT, like other BlueAnon and QAnon, is simply a mass delusion.

As Arnold Kling recently observed:

When I consider the political/cultural climate these days, it feels like a nightmare in which I am on a highway and all the other cars are being driven by 4-year-olds . . . There seem to be few adults in the room in politics, universities, or even major corporations.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

(1)  Both Trump's "Stop The Steal" and the Democrat "Russian Collusion" are election conspiracy theories.

In the case of "Stop The Steal" Trump's frequent claim he won in a landslide is nonsense and he knows it, according to an interview his recently resigned Communications Director gave to Politico in December 2020.  According to Alyssa Farah, while the campaign's internal polling showed the race tighter than the public polls, the final results conformed with their polling which showed Georgia as the only state they thought Trump would win that he didn't.  And the Dominion software conspiracy theory is flat out insane. 

The Russia Collusion theory involved the 2016 election and was false but used by Democrats, as noted above, to influence the 2018 and 2020 elections as led by Hillary Clinton and Nancy Pelosi they denounced Trump's election and presidency as illegitimate.  There is one significant difference between 2016 and 2020.  In 2016, Hillary was urged by several IT security experts to contest the results in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan based on discrepancies they claimed to have found between counties using electronic voting machines versus those using optical scanners and paper ballots.  Clinton declined to do so, while Trump took a different course in 2020.

Is it possible that more local, smaller scale fraud could have led to Trump's loss of the crucial states?  Possibly, but even if so, almost impossible to detect after the fact, though the Democrat's insistence on voting changes that negatively impact ballot security are not reassuring in that respect.  Making each vote count means ensuring both voter access and ballot security, a point lost on many.

Exit question: If the conspiracy theory you believe in says that the sitting President is a neo-nazi, racist, and fascist who, if reelected, will end democracy, wouldn't it be immoral for you not to do everything in your power to prevent his reelection, including altering election results? 

(2) President Trump's July 3, 2020 speech at Mt Rushmore prompted a similar distortion by the Democrats and the media.  In a clearly coordinated effort the speech was labeled as "dark and divisive" by multiple outlets and described as being about "dead traitors".   As with Charlotteville, these were outright lies.  You can read the speech and my analysis here.

(3) I've watched the videos (from the police officer cameras) of the Shaver and Ramos shootings and believe both were unnecessary and unjustified and found the Shaver incident particularly awful to watch.  Is there a need for policing reforms?  Yes.  In the immediate aftermath of Floyd's death there was an opportunity for reform as even voices such as Rush Limbaugh and Sean Hannity joined the outrage.  But Democrats and their paramilitary wing were more interested in a broader societal transformation that would benefit them electorally, deliberately sabotaging any bipartisan efforts, making this a race issue and not a policing issue, while ironically using the "Jim Crow" era filibuster to stop Senator Tim Scott's police reform proposal and using BLM as a wedge issue.

Regarding theory versus reality, the number of unarmed blacks killed by police in 2019 is between 13 and 27, depending on which database you use, while killing of unarmed non-blacks is about 3X that of blacks.  The percentage of blacks killed is roughly consistent with the percentage of crime committed by blacks in the U.S.  The impact of theory as amplified in media can be demonstrated by recent survey data showing a large proportion of self-described white liberals believe at least 1,000 unarmed blacks are killed each year by police, a number approximately 50X greater than reality.  As far as interracial black and white violent crime it accounts for only about 3-5% of all violent crime and 80% of it is black on white.

Saturday, May 15, 2021

Things Are Not What They Seem

Most of the media coverage of the recent outbreak of fighting between Hamas and Israel links it to the recent Court action ordering the eviction of Arab tenants from a building in East Jerusalem allegedly as part of an Israeli scheme to cleanse that area of the city of Arabs.  We'll discuss the real reasons at the end of this post, but first let's talk about what is really happening with the evictions.

Like most things regarding Jerusalem you need to start way back in time.

In the 630s, Arab tribesmen coming out of the desert conquered what is now Israel and Palestine.  Based on the limited sources we have it appears they were supported by the local Jewish population who resented the oppressive measures of the Byzantine Christians who ruled those lands.  There is also some controversy over precisely how "Muslim" those original Arab invaders were.

However, by the late 7th century, "Islam" as we know it today had taken form and a decision was made to build Islamic religious structures (later known as the Dome of the Rock and the Al Aqsa Mosque) on the Temple Mount, the site of the great Jewish Temple destroyed by the Romans in the first century AD (1).  These structures were designed to demonstrate the power of the colonialist cult which conquered the city and their dominance over Jews and Christians and, placing it on the holiest of Jewish sites, was a particularly symbolic gesture.(2)  To further enhance their dominance, Islam invented a mythical connection between Muhammed and Jerusalem, so that it could justify its claim to the city.  Today, Jerusalem is commonly called the home of three great religions while in reality the true historical connection is limited to Judaism and Christianity.

East Jerusalem, also known as the Old City, is adjacent to the Temple Mount.  While the number of Jews living in East Jerusalem has waxed and waned over the centuries (both Muslims and Jews were slaughtered by the Christian Crusaders who conquered the city in 1099) there has always been a Jewish presence.(3)  Under Ottoman rule (1517-1918) and the British Mandate (1918-48), Jews, Muslims, and Christians lived in their respective quarters of the Old City.

Under the UN Partition plan of 1947, Jerusalem was to be an international city, part of the Corpus Separandum.  After the Palestinian Arabs and the Arab states rejected the partition, Israel (which had accepted it) declared independence in May 1948 and was immediately attacked by five Arab states.  Jordan overran most of the Corpus Separandum, including East Jerusalem and annexed it (for more on the Corpus read here).  The Jews of the Old City, including families that had lived there for centuries, were expelled, demolishing all 58 synagogues and cemeteries in the Jewish Quarter.  For the next 19 years, Jews were denied access to the Temple Mount and Western Wall.

During the Six Days War in 1967, Jordan attacked Israel.  The Israeli counterattack threw the Jordanians out of East Jerusalem and the West Bank.  Immediately after the war the Israelis decided to leave Muslim authorities in control of the Temple Mount, a decision disappointing to many Jews, and have strictly limited Jewish visits to the site.

The Israeli government also faced a decision about what to do with the properties owned by the Jews expelled in 1948.  In a controversial decision, Israel decided that if a property had been transferred in accordance with Jordanian law to an Arab owner between 1948 and 1967 it would be considered a legal transfer, and the Jewish owners could not reclaim ownership.  However, if the property had not been legally transferred to a new owner, the Jewish owners could seek to reclaim their property.  The property that is subject to the dispute in East Jerusalem falls in this latter category, having never been legally transferred under Jordanian law. 

For a half-century the owners, whose family purchased the buildings in 1875, have sought to reclaim them through the Israeli courts.  Although they have won repeatedly in court, until recently no court ordered eviction of the Arab tenants, who have refused to pay rent for the past half-century (the courts have ruled that if the tenants pay rent they can remain).  The eviction has finally been ordered and this is allegedly what has set off the current phase of the conflict and been characterized as ethnic cleansing.

The real reasons for the outburst of fighting at this time are elsewhere.  There are several:

Fatah has been forced into promising new elections in the West Bank (there have been none since 2004) but is worried it will lose to Hamas.  Because the status of Jerusalem is so controversial, stirring up a conflict over its status, may help Fatah to once again postpone the elections.

After the recent Israeli elections once again revealed a closely divided electorate, it became very likely an Israeli Arab party would become part of the next governing coalition, which has never happened before.  For an Arab party to become part of the Israeli government would undercut the apartheid narrative the Palestinians sell to the rest of the world and needs to be prevented at all costs, a view shared by Fatah and Hamas.  Triggering violence, including disruption by Israeli Arabs, is their attempt to make it difficult for any Israeli Arab party to become part of Israel's government.

More broadly the Abraham Accords, creating peace and commercial relations between Israel, the UAE, Bahrain, Sudan and Morocco (and backed by Saudi Arabia) showed many Arab states to be sick of dealing with Palestinian intransigence and their rejection of decades of opportunity to make peace with Israel.  Creating a new high-profile conflict with Israel is the Palestinian attempt to regain relevance, deter any other Arab countries from joining the Accords, and perhaps disrupt the newly established bilateral relations between Israel and the current Abraham Accord Arab states. 

The overall goal of Fatah and Hamas is to make any final settlement with Israel impossible.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

(1)  It should be noted that the Palestinians and their supporters around the world (recently abetted by the New York Times), have promoted a myth denying there ever was a Jewish Temple in Jerusalem.

(2)  Though justice would seem to demand the demolition of these symbols of colonial oppression, I believe peace is the more valued goal and if remaining on the Temple Mount would help achieve a permanent peace between Jews and Moslems I am fully in favor of it.

(3)  Jews were expelled from the city and Judea by Emperor Hadrian after the failure of the great revolt of 132-35 AD, though they slowly migrated back over the centuries.  That revolt was triggered by Hadrian's plans to build a Roman temple on the site of the Temple Mount.  After the revolt, Hadrian changed the name of the province from Judea to Syria Palestina in a further attempt to sever the connection of the Jews to those lands.

Vincent In Full

I find this transformation of Van Gogh paintings into a virtual reality fascinating to look at over and over and . . . 


Sunday, May 9, 2021

I Feel Possessed


I hardly know which way is up

Or which way down
People are strange God only knows
I feel possessed when you come round

Another gem from Neil Finn and Crowded House.

Saturday, May 8, 2021

With Only One Lense, Vision Is Impaired

The word "lense" has taken on a new meaning under Critical Race Theory (CRT).  The  single "lense"  attributes everything to white racism.  No other explanation is permissible and those that attempt to utilize other "lenses" are themselves racist.  It is an intellectually bankrupt and intolerant way to analyze society.

As Professor Jonathan Haidt, a traditional liberal Democrat, noted in comparing his education in the 1980s to today:

But what do we do now? Many students are given just one lens—power. Here’s your lens, kid. Look at everything through this lens. Everything is about power. Every situation is analyzed in terms of the bad people acting to preserve their power and privilege over the good people. This is not an education. This is induction into a cult. It’s a fundamentalist religion. It’s a paranoid worldview that separates people from each other and sends them down the road to alienation, anxiety and intellectual impotence. . . .

Take this example from the front page of the May 1 edition of the Wall St Journal; "Why Black Homeownership Lags Badly in Minneapolis".  For those of you unfamiliar with the Journal, its news section skews left; for instance, if you read its reporting on the disturbances in Portland, Oregon last year you would be left wondering why federal authorities were seemingly randomly assaulting peaceful protestors on the streets.  However, unlike the New York Times which now enforces a Stalinist ideological unity upon everything that appears in its pages, ensuring no deviations from the Party line, the Journal's editorial page is completely independent from its news coverage.

The thesis of the Journal article is that the discrepancy between white and black home ownership in Minneapolis is attributable to racially restrictive housing covenants widely used in the early 20th century, the effects of which still resonate a century later.  A quick perusal of the very lengthy article revealed no logical connection I could ascertain between those covenants and housing patterns in 2021.  My review also revealed that the authors never considered any other hypothesis or possible contributing factors which is consistent with the approach of Critical Race Theory (CRT) which insists that racism, and only racism, is the cause of any statistical discrepancy in outcomes between races, and that the cause is the conspiracy by whites to maintain white supremacy.  If one is not blinded by their poor vision, there are any number of other questions that spring to mind and require answering before any sensible, rational person would accept the hypothesis presented.

I was going to put together a more detailed analysis of the article because it is such a wonderful example of the pits one can fall into with bad vision but it turns out John Hinderaker of Powerline already did so, with the value-added of being a Minneapolis area resident himself.

First of all, race-restricted covenants have been unenforceable, as the article acknowledges, since 1948, and have been banned in Minnesota since 1962. The idea that somehow, 60 to 75 years later, those long-gone covenants are still preventing blacks from buying homes, is ridiculous on its face.

Further, the number of blacks who were affected by such covenants was minuscule. As the article notes, “In the early 20th century, Black residents made up just 1% of the population.” Virtually all of the Twin Cities’ black population has moved to the area after restrictive covenants were abolished.

The Journal authors purport to find a lingering impact from deeds that date back the better part of a century, for reasons that can only be characterized as mystical:

It’s clear, however, that covenants were the foundation of a disparity that was then compounded by other factors in the ensuing decades.

Really? Nothing in the article makes such a claim “clear.” The authors cite this striking data point:

In Minneapolis, a 1% increase in covenanted houses in a census block was linked to a 19% reduction in Black homeownership as of 2010, according to a draft of a study led by Aradhya Sood, a postdoctoral scholar at the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston. It isn’t clear why the effect of covenants is so enduring, she said. “What did surprise me,” she said, “was just the level of the effect.

I think I can explain it. First, though, I can’t tell whether this alleged data point refers to the city of Minneapolis, or to the Twin Cities Metropolitan Statistical Area, which extends into Wisconsin. Taking the authors at their word, I assume it is Minneapolis. This, then, is what is going on: the areas of Minneapolis that existed in the early 20th century and where there were at least a handful of restrictive covenants may or may not have amounted to much at the time, but they are now rather exclusive. Blacks are entirely welcome in South and Southwest Minneapolis, they just have to be able to afford a house that may cost $1 million. The correlation found by the authors is not with restrictive covenants of 100 years ago, but rather with today’s real estate market.

Real estate development in the Twin Cities metro area has occurred mostly since 1948 or, if we choose that date, 1962. The suburb in which I live did not exist in 1962. There have never been any restrictive covenants here, and blacks and others are welcome to buy homes. They just have to make their mortgage payments. That is true for the vast majority of the Twin Cities metro area.

Hinderaker also includes a reader comment to the Journal asking the types of questions one would normally raise but were not addressed in the article:

What is the correlation between education and home ownership, or employment by race and home ownership, how about correlation between two income families and home ownership, or other traditional factors and home ownership? This “study” appears to seek data to support a thesis – but can’t. Also, these covenants were designed to exclude Jews and other groups from home ownership in some areas. How are they doing currently? Is the impact as durable for these groups and why or why not?

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

This "lense" is blinding so many and shattering our society, which is its intent.  We are now instructed that hatred of Asians is attributable to white supremacy and privilege because that is what the "lense" tells us the answer must be.  In reality, talented Asian students are deliberately kept out of elite schools by white progressives, K-12 gifted programs and STEM schools are being dismantled by white progressives and BLM types precisely because Asians are being too successful, and black assaults on Asians continue, as they have for years, at a disproportionate rate.  But all of this is ignored once the CRT lense is applied.  It is a lense that privileges theory over reality.  Even worse, it demands that those who want to discuss reality should be banned from the public discourse and threatened with the loss of their jobs, careers, and educational opportunities.

Here is Asra Q Nomani, a progressive journalist and Pakistani immigrant, who is fighting the New Racism of CRT in the Fairfax County (Virginia) School District:



 


"Mokita" is a word in one of the languages spoken in Papua New Guinea.  Its meaning is "the truth we all know but agree not to talk about."  Increasingly people of good faith recognize that CRT peddles nonsense and hate, but its advocates are counting on threats of ruin against its opponents until we agree not to talk about it.

As Philip K Dick wrote many years ago:

Reality is that which, when you stop believing in it, doesn't go away.

CRT says you must believe in theory, not reality.  But reality still exists.  Don't forget.

Thursday, May 6, 2021

Willie Turns 90

Happy birthday, Mr Mays!  My favorite athlete because he was Dad's favorite.  At this point, whenever I see anything about Willie I also think about Dad.  Willie at Phoenix Municipal Stadium during spring training some time between 1954 and 1957.  Idyllic, isn't it?  Like a Norman Rockwell on the cover of the Saturday Evening Post.

Image

I Can't Go For That

Posted this a few years ago, but since I listen to it every few weeks thought it was time to share it again.  From Daryl's House it's Ce Lo Green and Daryl Hall performing I Can't Go For That with a dynamite band.  Didn't care for this song when Hall & Oates released it in the early 80s and it became a hit single but this version is perfectomundo.  Ce Lo's vocal is so effortless, while Daryl Hall sounds as good as he did decades ago.  And spend a little time with the bassist and drummer who are so tight.  Hard to stop moving as you listen.

The Magic Bus Revisited

Four years ago when I wrote a post about the wacky and memorable 1978 trip on the Magic Bus from Athens to Paris by Mrs THC and yours truly I did not anticipate how many comments would come in the ensuing years from others who also have fond memories of those crazy bus rides.  You can find the post here but make sure you scroll down to the comments which confirm we were not exaggerating!  And my thanks to everyone for sharing your memories.